SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.61%) and 1-0 (6.49%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | De Graafschap |
52.08% ( 0.01) | 21.41% ( -0) | 26.5% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.72% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.01) | 33.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.18% ( 0.01) | 54.81% ( -0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( 0.01) | 13.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.01) | 39.59% ( -0.01) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -0) | 24.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.14% ( -0.01) | 58.86% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 52.09% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.5% |
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