SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Almeria |
43.09% ( -0.24) | 26.4% ( -0.04) | 30.51% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.26) | 53.07% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( 0.22) | 74.65% ( -0.22) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -0.01) | 24.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( -0.01) | 58.86% ( 0) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.33) | 31.91% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( 0.37) | 68.36% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.51% |
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