Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Almeria in this match.
