SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Flint Town United |
79.77% ( 0) | 12.65% ( 0.02) | 7.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.25) | 28.44% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.31) | 49.28% ( 0.31) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.46% ( -0.05) | 5.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.45% ( -0.14) | 21.54% ( 0.14) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.26) | 44.42% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( -0.21) | 80.46% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.81% Total : 79.77% | 1-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.03% Total : 12.65% | 1-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 7.58% |
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