Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tigre | Draw | Boca Juniors |
37.12% ( -0.03) | 30.01% ( 0.13) | 32.87% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.75% ( -0.43) | 65.25% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.94% ( -0.3) | 84.06% ( 0.3) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -0.24) | 33.75% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( -0.27) | 70.41% ( 0.27) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( -0.31) | 36.67% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.32) | 73.45% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Tigre | Draw | Boca Juniors |
1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.86% |
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