Leon have come a long way in these international competitions, but they are facing a side who are familiar with this stage of the tournament that also look impenetrable defensively at home, and with a striker in Giganc who has feasted off La Fiera in the past.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.06) 
