SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
51.03% ( 0.8) | 23.09% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.61) | 41.68% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.62) | 64.08% ( 0.63) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( 0.07) | 16.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( 0.11) | 46.12% ( -0.11) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.91) | 29.43% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( -1.13) | 65.42% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.03% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 25.88% |
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