SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
43.5% ( 0.11) | 25.41% ( -0.14) | 31.09% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( 0.61) | 48.76% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( 0.55) | 70.87% ( -0.55) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 0.31) | 22.36% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( 0.46) | 55.85% ( -0.46) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( 0.32) | 29.32% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( 0.4) | 65.3% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.09% |
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