SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
44.81% ( 0.04) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.04) | 52.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( -0.04) | 73.97% ( 0.03) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0) | 23.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0) | 57.16% ( -0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.05) | 32.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.06) | 69.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.14% |
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