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NY
Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
TF
NY City
5 - 4
Toronto
Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-2 Toronto

Both of these sides seem to have found their footing at long last, and although New York might have the edge in experience and offensive depth, TFC have proven to be a much more resilient bunch than we saw in 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
74.05%15.37%10.59%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.5%53.5%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65%7.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.47%26.53%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 74.05%
    Toronto 10.59%
    Draw 15.37%
New York City FCDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.82%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.58%
5-0 @ 3.03%
5-1 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 2.34%
6-0 @ 1.32%
5-2 @ 1.22%
6-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.11%
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 3.15%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-2 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 6-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-1 Montreal
Saturday, March 12 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 NY City
Saturday, March 5 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 27 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 DC United
Saturday, March 19 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 5 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

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