SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 34.95%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (13.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Estudiantes |
34.95% ( -0.17) | 31.14% ( 0.45) | 33.91% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 39.24% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.5% ( -1.29) | 68.5% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.73% ( -0.86) | 86.27% ( 0.86) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.84) | 36.99% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -0.84) | 73.78% ( 0.85) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.92) | 37.73% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( -0.91) | 74.5% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.84% Total : 34.94% | 0-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.65) 1-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.12% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.72% Total : 33.91% |
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