Union have been absolutely superb on home soil in this campaign, with a perfect record so far, while scoring six times and conceding just once. River Plate on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road, and we think they will not be able to cope with what the hosts will throw at them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	River Plate
29.32% ( 0.01)	27.97% ( -0)	42.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

0.01)

59.38% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.23% (

0.01)

79.76% (

-0.01)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

0.02)

36.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

0.02)

72.91% (

-0.01)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

27.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97%

63.02% (

Score Analysis

Union 29.32%

River Plate 42.7%

Draw 27.97%

Union	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.32%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.7%