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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 5
River Plate

Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-1 River Plate

Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. While Union will be looking to build on Wednesday's victory, we predict the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRiver Plate
28.71% (1.769 1.77) 27.37% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 43.92% (-1.826 -1.83)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.935 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (0.649 0.65)57.49% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (0.512 0.51)78.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.792 1.79)35.59% (-1.791 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.804 1.8)72.35% (-1.805 -1.81)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.624 -0.62)26% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.85 -0.85)61.02% (0.849 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Union 28.71%
    River Plate 43.92%
    Draw 27.36%
UnionDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.354 0.35)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.346 0.35)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 2-2 Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-2 Tigre
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 19 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Union
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 4-0 Colo-Colo
Friday, May 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Tigre
Thursday, May 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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