Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Union | Draw | River Plate |
28.71% ( 1.77) | 27.37% ( 0.06) | 43.92% ( -1.83) |
Both teams to score 47.66% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.51% ( 0.65) | 57.49% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% ( 0.51) | 78.29% ( -0.51) |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( 1.79) | 35.59% ( -1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( 1.8) | 72.35% ( -1.81) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( -0.62) | 26% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.85) | 61.02% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Union | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.71% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.92% |
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