SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto |
50.28% ( -0.08) | 27.7% ( -0.09) | 22.03% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.36% ( 0.38) | 62.63% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.8% ( 0.28) | 82.2% ( -0.28) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0.14) | 25.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 0.19) | 59.97% ( -0.19) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.47% ( 0.39) | 44.53% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.31) | 80.55% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.46% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.03% |
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