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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
GL

Venezia
2 - 0
Genoa

Busio (63'), Pohjanpalo (85')
Svoboda (72'), Yeboah (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (30'), Bani (57'), Pinamonti (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Venezia 1-2 Genoa

Venezia are trying to follow in the footsteps of Genoa, who stayed up with room to spare following promotion, but they have looked a little out of their depth so far. A leaky back line could leave the hosts vulnerable to conceding multiple goals again, so their wait for a win will go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawGenoa
46.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.94% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 26.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.01% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)56.99% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)77.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)24.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)59% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)37.01% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.093 -0.09)73.8% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 46.42%
    Genoa 26.63%
    Draw 26.94%
VeneziaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia
Sunday, August 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brescia 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 11 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Venezia
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, August 4 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3


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