SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.47% ( -0.26) | 24.36% | 28.17% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.16) | 45.69% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.15) | 68.01% ( -0.16) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.04) | 19.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.07) | 51.13% ( 0.07) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( 0.27) | 29.81% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( 0.33) | 65.88% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.17% |
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