SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
34.77% ( -3.14) | 22.86% ( 0.38) | 42.37% ( 2.76) |
| Both teams to score 65.38% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.39% ( -2.43) | 35.6% ( 2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.34% ( -2.74) | 57.66% ( 2.74) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -2.59) | 20.85% ( 2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -4.23) | 53.53% ( 4.23) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( 0.13) | 17.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 0.23) | 47.82% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.77)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.42)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.19)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.37% |
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