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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
GelreDome
FT

Vitesse
1 - 2
FC Twente

Propper (44' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Wolfswinkel (4'), Brenet (79')
Smal (13'), Propper (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 0-1 FC Twente

Vitesse have been largely underwhelming in front of their fans all-season long, and Twente are seeking to become the latest team to capitalise. While we expect the hosts to put up a good fight, we just about fancy the visitors to carry the day in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.

Result
VitesseDrawFC Twente
26.66% (0.114 0.11) 23.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 49.99% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.81% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (-0.189 -0.19)42.22% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37% (-0.189 -0.19)64.63% (0.188 0.19)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)29.12% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.05% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)17.02% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (-0.241 -0.24)47.16% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 26.66%
    FC Twente 49.99%
    Draw 23.34%
VitesseDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 49.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 3-2 Vitesse
Saturday, February 10 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Vitesse
Friday, January 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, February 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-0 FC Twente
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie


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