Having been held in their last game, NEC are under pressure to deliver in this fixture as they bid to keep the pressure on Ajax. While we feel that the scoreline will be closer than many are anticipating, NEC should still come through this contest with three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
