SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
22.48% ( -0.13) | 23.8% ( 0.04) | 53.71% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( -0.28) | 48.12% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( -0.26) | 70.28% ( 0.26) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.28) | 35.81% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -0.29) | 72.58% ( 0.29) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.07) | 17.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( -0.12) | 48.58% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.71% |
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