SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
49.93% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0) | 25.28% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.01) | 49.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.01) | 71.63% ( 0.01) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( 0.01) | 52% ( -0.01) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.02) | 34.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.02) | 70.83% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.28% |
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