After languishing in the relegation places for most of the first half of the season, Famalicao have turned a corner in recent weeks and could move into the top half of the Primeira Liga standings with all three points this weekend. The Vila Nova face a struggling Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have managed just three points from their last 15 available and we predict they will keep their fine run going and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
51.24%	23.9%	24.86%

Both teams to score 55.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.03%

48.97%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33%

32.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78%

69.22%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.23%

Famalicao 24.86%

Draw 23.9%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.86%