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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
FL

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Famalicao

Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Famalicao

After languishing in the relegation places for most of the first half of the season, Famalicao have turned a corner in recent weeks and could move into the top half of the Primeira Liga standings with all three points this weekend. The Vila Nova face a struggling Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have managed just three points from their last 15 available and we predict they will keep their fine run going and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
51.24%23.9%24.86%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77%46.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48%68.52%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94%18.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03%48.97%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78%69.22%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.23%
    Famalicao 24.86%
    Draw 23.9%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 24.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca
Saturday, February 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Saturday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, January 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Tondela
Saturday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 5-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Famalicao
Sunday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Arouca
Monday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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