SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
53.44% ( 0.04) | 24.16% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.08) | 49.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.08) | 71.7% ( -0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.05) | 18.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( 0.08) | 49.75% ( -0.08) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( 0.03) | 36.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( 0.03) | 73.55% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.4% |
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