SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.06% ( 0.48) | 26.53% ( -0.14) | 23.42% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% ( 0.22) | 57.7% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( 0.17) | 78.46% ( -0.18) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.31) | 23.15% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.46) | 57.03% ( -0.46) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% ( -0.2) | 40.29% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.08% ( -0.18) | 76.92% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42% |
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