SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Dordrecht |
44.81% ( -0) | 22.4% ( 0.01) | 32.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 66.45% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.05) | 33.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.21% ( -0.05) | 55.79% ( 0.06) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.02) | 15.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.08% ( -0.03) | 44.92% ( 0.04) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.02) | 21.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.04) | 53.93% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 32.79% |
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