Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
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