SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Turkey |
44.66% ( 0.04) | 26.46% ( -0.01) | 28.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% ( 0.04) | 54.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( 0.03) | 75.47% ( -0.03) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.04) | 24.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.05) | 58.37% ( -0.05) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0) | 33.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( -0) | 70.27% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.87% |
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