Watford have a flawless record at Vicarage Road against Birmingham over recent times, but the Hornets are facing a Blues side full of confidence after an unbeaten start.
Eustace has demanded that his men are competitive in Hertfordshire on the weekend, and we are expecting that a battling performance from the visitors will be enough to force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
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