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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
14.37% ( 0.02) | 18.21% ( 0.03) | 67.41% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.09) | 35.99% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.09) | 58.09% ( 0.09) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.03) | 37.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.58% ( -0.03) | 74.42% ( 0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.17% ( -0.04) | 9.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.38% ( -0.08) | 32.61% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.37% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.22% | 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.41% |
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