SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
33.79% ( 0.03) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 40.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.04) | 47.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.04) | 69.91% ( 0.04) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% | 27.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% | 62.46% ( 0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.03) | 23.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.05) | 57.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.85% |
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