SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
64.05% ( -0.56) | 18.68% ( 0.22) | 17.26% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 61.75% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.45) | 32.18% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.23% ( -0.53) | 53.77% ( 0.53) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( -0.26) | 9.57% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.98% ( -0.61) | 32.02% ( 0.6) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.08) | 31.72% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( 0.09) | 68.14% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.06% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 17.26% |
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