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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.5%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
43.81% ( 0.23) | 22.01% ( 0.04) | 34.18% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 68.52% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.29) | 31.44% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.35) | 52.91% ( 0.35) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.03) | 15.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.21% ( -0.06) | 43.78% ( 0.06) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( -0.27) | 19.21% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.09% ( -0.44) | 50.91% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.18% |
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