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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
42.77% ( -0.19) | 22.81% ( 0.09) | 34.42% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.42) | 35.41% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.55% ( -0.48) | 57.45% ( 0.48) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.25) | 17.16% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( -0.44) | 47.4% ( 0.44) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.14) | 20.94% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.23) | 53.68% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 34.42% |
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