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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
49.36% ( -0.12) | 21.18% ( -0) | 29.46% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 69.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.11) | 29.56% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.33% ( 0.13) | 50.66% ( -0.14) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0) | 12.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( 0.01) | 38.75% ( -0.01) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.13) | 20.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( 0.2) | 53.43% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.46% |
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