SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
18.75% ( -1.5) | 19.17% ( -0.51) | 62.07% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.98% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.07% ( 0.1) | 31.93% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.52% ( 0.12) | 53.48% ( -0.12) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -1.34) | 30.04% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( -1.65) | 66.17% ( 1.65) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.03% ( 0.53) | 9.97% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.04% ( 1.2) | 32.96% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.68% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.17)2-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.07% |
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