SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
27.9% ( -0.12) | 23.72% ( 0.42) | 48.38% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( -2.01) | 42.99% ( 2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( -2.02) | 65.39% ( 2.03) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -1.12) | 28.61% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -1.42) | 64.42% ( 1.42) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( -0.88) | 17.93% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( -1.53) | 48.74% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.38% |
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