SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
33.24% ( -0.08) | 24.45% ( 0.07) | 42.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.37) | 43.74% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.36) | 66.13% ( 0.36) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -0.23) | 25.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% ( -0.31) | 60.35% ( 0.31) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.15) | 20.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( -0.24) | 53.43% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.24% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.31% |
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