SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Chelsea |
33.13% ( -0.21) | 23.28% ( 0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.38) | 38.15% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.41) | 60.42% ( 0.4) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.3) | 22.9% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -0.44) | 56.66% ( 0.43) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.1) | 17.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( -0.17) | 48.75% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.58% |
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