Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.