Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Morecambe |
63.8% ( 0.09) | 19.37% ( -0.03) | 16.83% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.56% ( 0) | 36.43% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.43% ( 0) | 58.57% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% ( 0.03) | 10.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.93% ( -0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% ( -0.07) | 34.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.08) | 71.59% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 16.83% |
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