Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Caen
34.72% ( 0.93)	27.61% ( -0.2)	37.67% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.18% (

0.85)

56.82% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25% (

0.67)

77.75% (

-0.67)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

1.04)

30.96% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

1.2)

67.26% (

-1.2)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.02)

29.13% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.02)

65.06% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 34.72%

Caen 37.67%

Draw 27.61%

Ajaccio	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.67%