Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
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