Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunkerque in this match.
