Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 44.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Niort had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
