Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
