SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
69.3% ( 1.01) | 18.61% ( -0.09) | 12.09% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -1.89) | 43.45% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( -1.88) | 65.85% ( 1.88) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( -0.26) | 11.41% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.83% ( -0.58) | 36.17% ( 0.58) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% ( -2.69) | 45.89% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.36% ( -2.17) | 81.63% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.74) 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.8)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.57% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
