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NY
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 3, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
CC

NY Red Bulls
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

NY Red Bulls win 5-4 on penalties
Vanzeir (64'), Forsberg (80' pen.)
Carballo (49'), Nealis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arfsten (55'), Ramirez (90+6')
Camilo Hernandez (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-2 Columbus Crew

While New York Red Bulls are essentially defending an advantage here, Columbus Crew must throw caution to the wind if not in a winning position. However, that may benefit them, to a certain extent, and it leaves us predicting a crucial away success for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawColumbus Crew
40.21% (-0.779 -0.78) 24.18% (0.203 0.2) 35.61% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.886 -0.89)41.92% (0.883 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.896 -0.9)64.33% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (-0.74000000000001 -0.74)20.98% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (-1.167 -1.17)53.75% (1.166 1.17)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)23.31% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-0.143 -0.14)57.25% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 40.21%
    Columbus Crew 35.61%
    Draw 24.18%
New York Red BullsDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.21%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-5 NY City
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Tuesday, October 29 at 10.45pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 New England
Sunday, October 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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