SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.51% ( -0.11) | 24.14% ( 0.04) | 20.36% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.08) | 51.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( -0.07) | 73.62% ( 0.07) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.07) | 18.56% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( -0.12) | 49.82% ( 0.13) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.03) | 40.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( 0.03) | 76.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.36% |
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