SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
40.61% ( 0.03) | 24.95% ( 0.01) | 34.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.04) | 45.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.04) | 68.04% ( 0.05) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( -0.01) | 55.97% ( 0.02) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( -0.03) | 25.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( -0.05) | 60.67% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.44% |
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