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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.58% ( 0.54) | 20.72% ( -0.26) | 21.7% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.25% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.94% ( 0.88) | 35.06% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.94% ( 0.98) | 57.06% ( -0.97) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( 0.44) | 12.09% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( 0.91) | 37.64% ( -0.91) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.26) | 29.18% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 0.32) | 65.12% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.7% |
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