SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
41.81% ( 0) | 24.68% ( -0) | 33.51% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( 0.01) | 67.05% ( -0.01) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 0) | 21.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( 0.01) | 54.42% ( -0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0) | 25.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( 0) | 60.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.51% |
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